
The world is chaotic, life is chaotic and business is definitely chaotic!
Seemingly random and uncontrollable events can lead to unpredictable outcomes. In cash flow terms, this can influence available cash in unexpected and sometimes uncomfortable ways.
Nothing that I can write here can make the unpredictability go away. I can, however, suggest that by accepting rather than denying this cash flow chaos, we are better prepared to anticipate shifts, plan for contingencies, and develop some of those core coping strategies that are so essential to running a business.
Knowns and Unknowns
Donald Rumsfeld, the former US Secretary of Defence, famously spoke about known knowns, known unknowns and unknown unknowns, which can be useful when it comes to us thinking about our cashflow.
In the realm of cash flow management, the concept of “known knowns” relates to the elements of our cash flow that can be predicted and planned for. These are the stable pillars of our finances, such as regular income, recurring expenses, and contractual obligations.
As business owners, we can apply our knowledge and our experience to manage these known knowns relatively easily, creating a stable foundation for us to build upon.
Life gets a bit trickier when we have to start accounting for the unknowns.
“Known unknowns” are those foreseeable, but unpredictable events, such as market fluctuations or seasonal trends, which require adaptive strategies. We know the wave is coming, but we don’t know how big it will be.
To cope, we need to employ some foresight to acknowledge and anticipate these elements. By proactively stress-testing and adjusting our financial forecasts around various scenarios, we can ensure a level of preparedness for the inevitable fluctuations that will occur.
Beyond the known unknowns, lie the dark waters of “unknown unknowns” – the unforeseen challenges that can disrupt our cash flow without warning.
As entrepreneurs, we need to be able to adapt in the face of the unexpected. We need resilience, financial flexibility, and a mindset that allows for swift responses to the unforeseen. Only with these characteristics, can we make sure our businesses remain robust, whatever the world throws at us.
Running a business, then, is a delicate balance between stability and adaptability. Our only means of survival is our ability to build a strong core and then deploy strategies for dynamically adjusting our cash flow management when challenges come our way.
Putting you in control
CaFE has been developed to make this seemingly daunting task as easy as possible and put you back in control.
Your initial budget can be built at the press of a button around the stable core of your “known knowns”.
Scenario planning then allows you to adapt the budget and see the impact of any “known, unknown” factors, such as a new contract, new overheads or the loss of a large customer.
Finally, while none of us can entirely prepare for the “unknown unknowns’, we can at least see the level of financial resilience we have and our likelihood to be able to cope. Seeing it is the first step towards making it stronger.
All this without a spreadsheet in sight, and constantly updated in near real-time based on the actual revenues that flow in and out of your business.

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